bkervick's Week 12 Ballot

RankTeamReason
1 UConn -- Homer
2 Purdue -- Best resume and predictive blend
3North Carolina -- Really taking care of business on the road in conference play.
4 Tennessee Up 2. 2 '99' game score margins this week on Torvik.
5 Houston Up 2. 2 '99' game score margins this week on Torvik.
6Arizona Up 2. Just survived at home against UCLA, -8 game average score in that one.
7 Auburn Up 2. Resume finally catching up to quality metrics.
8 Kansas Down 4. Tough quad 3 loss but also strong margin win @OKSt.
9Wisconsin Down 4. Tough quad 2 road loss.
10Kentucky -- Had them aggressively ranked already based on metrics, which got only slightly better.
11 Illinois Up 6. Chaos above them and return of Shannon restores confidence in their metrics.
12 Oklahoma Up 3. 2-0 week with a road Big 12 win will move you up even after a tough last week.
13Baylor Down 2. 2 tough B12 road losses, 1 in OT and 1 at the buzzer.
14 Creighton Down 1. Tough scoring at UConn, but followed up with huge win at Seton Hall in 3OT.
15Marquette Up 9. Combination of strong week (+1.2 WAB) and me being overly low on them last week.
16 Duke Down 4. Lost only matchup to Pitt at home, borderline quad 3, but missing 2 starters.
17 Alabama Down 3. No show against Tennessee.
18 Dayton Up 1. 2 quad 4 wins, at least 1 was good margin.
19 San Diego State Down 1. Up and down 1-1 week.
20Colorado State -- Came back vs. UNLV to hold their spot.
21 Texas Tech Up 1. Texas Tech got smoked by Houston, but beat BYU and no other strong profiles tbh.
22 Utah State Down 1. Tough margin road loss against good team, light work otherwise.
23 Utah New. Both top 25 resume and predictive metrics.
24 Seton Hall Down 1. Lost a thrilled in 3OT to Creighton, but also handled St. Johns earlier in the week.
25 Iowa State New. Despite loss at BYU, just getting hard to ignore the metrics.

Overall Rationale

Impossible to rank 20-25. Out: 2 tough losses for TCU, but they were 25 so they're out. Memphis 2 bad losses drop out from 16. Considered: BYU. Gonzaga. Florida Atlantic. New Mexico. Indiana St. St. Mary's +0.9 WAB this week and won 11/12.