Equivalent-Yard3824's Week 16 Ballot
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auburn | (+0) How each team wins or losses NCAAT. Win if they keep utilizing their elite talent and depth to dominate. Lose only if an elite offensive team scores 1.2+ PPP with elite playmaking. |
| 2 | Florida | (+1) Elite guard play and an uncanny ability to negate the threes leads to a Champ, Lose if they hit a team with elite guard defense or someone who can out offensive rebound them. |
| 3 | Duke | (+1) Win it all if Tyrese keeps playing this well and they avoid the injury bug. Lose if Defensive intensity stalls and the Turnover bug derails the offense |
| 4 | Alabama | (-2) Win it all if somehow their 3pt % climbs near last year's #s, Lose if they play a team athletic enough to play solid defense at Bama's electric pace. |
| 5 | Houston | (+1) Win it all if they're able to stretch a lead to 7+ by the 10 minute mark. Lose if they play a close game against a team that doesn't run around like chickens with their heads cut off |
| 6 | Texas A&M | (+2) Win it all if they're able to continue to OReb every single bricked shot. Lose if they play a team that can keep them off the boards and get them in Foul Trouble |
| 7 | Iowa State | (+2) Win it all if they're able to mesh Jones and Momcilovic to get the best of both of them. Lose if they run into an elite Defensive team that can hold them under 1.1 PPP |
| 8 | Tennessee | (-3) Win it all if Lanier can be the best player on the court for 6 straight games. Lose if they're overly reliant on Zakai and he gets into his turnover bag |
| 9 | Texas Tech | (+3) Win it all if Anderson and Toppin hit their next level. Lose if their lack of size is exploited on the defensive end. |
| 10 | St. John's | (+0) Win it all if they're defense causes havoc and they rarely have to play offense in the halfcourt. Lose if they have to hit free throws or a three to win a game. |
| 11 | Purdue | (-4) Win if Smith and TKR can control the pace of the game and play at their speed, Lose if they get outpaced and their defense gets exposed. |
| 12 | Clemson | (+2) Win if they force every offense and defensive possession into a 20+ second half court set. Lose if a team is able to kill them on the O Boards |
| 13 | Missouri | (+5) Win if they touch the paint every possession and get to line at an elite rate. Lose if that fails and they're forced to try and shoot their way out of a hole. |
| 14 | Michigan | (+5) Win if they maintain and even balance of inside/outside on offense. Lose if they start pressing the issue and turn the ball over too much. |
| 15 | Wisconsin | (+8) Win if they're able to run their offense and get to their spots. Lose if they hit a team that can physically disrupt their O and crush their D |
| 16 | Michigan State | (-3) Win if they magically learn how to hit 3s. Lose if play a team with good on ball defenders who can stop the drive and force jumpers. |
| 17 | Kentucky | (+0) Win if they somehow only play top 15 opponents each round. Lose if the other team can match their physicality and doesn't hurt themselves. |
| 18 | Memphis | (-7) Win if Haggerty and Hunter continue to hit circus shots. Lose if they struggle from deep and give up too many ORebs |
| 19 | Saint Mary's | (+10) Win if their defense can continue to limit threes and slow the game down for their offense. Lose if they face a defense that can disrupt their actions and get them out of rhythm |
| 20 | Kansas | (-4) Win if their guard play significantly improves fixing their spacing and balance issues. Lose if Dickinson disappears and the bench continues to be a dud. |
| 21 | Louisville | (+9) Win if enough of their threes fall to make their mad scientist offense work. Lose if a team is able to pressure their ball handlers and limit ORebs |
| 22 | Maryland | (+6) Win if Gillespie goes Shabazz Napier on the tourney. Lose if a team can match the size down low and eliminate Queen and Reese. |
| 23 | UCLA | (-1) Win if their defense sets the tone, lose if they're forced to come from behind. |
| 24 | Gonzaga | (+1) Win if somehow all the advanced Metrics are right about them. Lose if actually results matter. |
| 25 | Kansas State | (NR) Win if the last 3 weeks are for real. Lose if they turn back into a pumpkin. |
Overall Rationale
Next 5: Creighton, Ole Miss, Arizona, Marquette, Mississippi St. Next Next 5: Illinois, BYU, New Mexico, Ohio St, VCU