willweaverrva's Week 5 Ballot

RankTeamReason
1 Auburn Auburn being #1 is probably the only thing I'm sure of on this poll ballot. Three KP top-31 wins in a row, two of which were in dominating fashion. Auburn is #1.
2 Kansas Kansas drops due to no fault of their own - the Duke win was impressive, but it just isn't really enough compared to Auburn's wins this week.
3Tennessee The Vols continue to roll and the metrics love them. I was very tempted to put Kentucky here but Kentucky's level of competition hasn't been quite as high.
4 Kentucky I was hesitant to put Kentucky this high, but with all the chaos this past week I have little choice. Their competition is about to take a huge step up, though.
5 Gonzaga The loss to WVU is a bit of a headscratcher, but WVU is getting hot at a good time. Considering the Zags crushed Indiana and Davidson, I think they'll be fine, but Kentucky looms.
6Marquette The Zaide Lowery injury is a bit concerning as Marquette's schedule becomes an absolute meat grinder from here on out. Can Shaka keep the Golden Eagles rolling?
7 Purdue Purdue continues to play very well, but they have one of the toughest Decembers of any D1 team coming up, including a date with #1 Auburn.
8 Alabama Alabama lost a game, but they lost it to Oregon, who probably should've been ranked sooner as they are for real. Texas almost got this spot but their competition has been pretty weak.
9Iowa State Iowa State continues to be an offensive powerhouse. They did lose a game, but it was to the team now ranked #1 on my ballot, so that doesn't hurt quite as much.
10Texas See the Alabama entry. You can move up when other teams lose, but a win over Delaware State isn't exactly lighting the world on fire. NC State and UConn this week, then some holiday cupcakes.
11 Illinois No notes. The win over Coach Cal's Razorbacks was pretty impressive, though.
12 Duke Duke lost an instant classic of a game to #2 Kansas before obliterating the hapless Seattle U. A major showdown with Auburn looms this week.
13Houston It feels like Houston has been in a nosedive since the start of the season. The metrics still love them, but they're not playing well and I can't put a 3-loss team in the top 10.
14 Oregon New to ballot. I spent a lot of this young season wondering if Oregon was for real. 4 straight wins over KP top-75 opponents, including TAMU, SDSU, and Alabama tell me they are.
15Baylor Not much to say here. Baylor feasted on some New Orleans cupcakes this past week and move up by virtue of not losing.
16 Cincinnati This is the absolute highest I can put Cincy on this ballot. Metrically speaking, they're good, but their competition has been trash. It's hard to draw any conclusions yet.
17 Wisconsin The Badgers are 8-0, with wins over UCF, a now-ranked Pitt, and a badly fading Arizona. Their next 3 games are against KP top-25 opponents so we'll see if they're for real soon enough.
18 Texas A&M I feel like I'm being generous to Texas A&M, but they did go 2-1 this week and I don't quite feel comfortable having Drake leapfrog them...yet.
19 Pitt New to ballot. I should have ranked Pitt last week. Jeff Capel has them playing at a high level and are 3-1 against KP top 50 opponents.
20San Diego State New to ballot. 2-1 against a grueling early season tournament schedule including a win over Houston gets the Aztecs on the board.
21 Florida New to ballot. This is correcting an injustice from previous ballots. The Gators are 8-0 and have some fairly strong wins early on, and the metrics love them.
22 Drake Drake moves up by virtue of higher ranked teams losing. They're playing extremely well but they probably won't get to move much higher in the poll due to a lack of strong competition.
23 Oklahoma New to ballot. Providence and Arizona have been struggling, but 7-0 Oklahoma put a stop to Louisville's momentum with an impressive - if close - win.
24 Arizona State New to ballot. Trading Arizona for Arizona State because I can't rank a team with a losing record no matter how much the metrics like them. Still, solid wins over UNM and SMC get Arizona State in.
25 Dayton New to ballot. Let me explain. Dayton went 1-2 in Maui this week. The two losses were close games against the #12 and #7 teams in this poll. They crushed the #2 team. I think they earned a #25 vote.

Overall Rationale

NEW TO BALLOT: Oregon, San Diego State, Pittsburgh, Florida, Oklahoma, Arizona State, Dayton. DROPPED FROM BALLOT: UConn (2), North Carolina (10), Creighton (16), Indiana (17), Arizona (20), Mississippi State (22), Saint Mary's (25). ALMOST FAMOUS: Creighton, Clemson, Utah State, St. John's, Louisville. ALMOST "ALMOST FAMOUS" (because of how wacky this week was): West Virginia, UCLA, Michigan State, UC Irvine, Memphis.