Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Houston | The consensus darling of the analytical world. It's hard not trust Kelvin Sampson, to be fair. |
2 | Duke | |
3 | Kansas | |
4 | Iowa State | Analytic consensus had them dead tied with Alabama, but I give the slight edge to the 'Clones. With those returners and that style, I foresee little early season variability |
5 | Alabama | Awesome offense and may not miss Youngblood too, too much. But just one spot lower than I-St for me |
6 | Gonzaga | Consensus had Auburn ever so slightly ahead, but even without Venters, I love this backcourt - one of the best in the country. |
7 | Auburn | |
8 | UConn | |
9 | Arizona | |
10 | North Carolina | Another consensus tie, but I gave the edge to UNC and potential PotY RJ Davis. |
11 | Tennessee | |
12 | Baylor | Consensus had Purdue ever so slightly higher, but this Baylor team will be as explosive as it gets. |
13 | Purdue | |
14 | Creighton | |
15 | Texas | |
16 | Texas A&M | |
17 | Texas Tech | |
18 | Cincinnati | Tied with Marquette on consensus, but I gave the edge to Cincinnati. The Bearcats project to be a better defensive unit and still maintain backcourt firepower. |
19 | Marquette | |
20 | UCLA | |
21 | Illinois | |
22 | Mississippi State | Media seems to love Ole Miss, but the analytics see Miss St. as the better squad entering the season. Hubbard is a stud and Chris Jans always seems to get the best out of his talent. |
23 | Kentucky | |
24 | BYU | Consensus had Mich. St. . 5 spots higher, but the Cougs bring a ton of upside to the table, and I was surprised to see the Spartans so high in the metrics. |
25 | Michigan State | I think Pitino and St.John's could be formidable this season, but the consensus had Sparty 4 spots higher. As much as I'm wait-and-see on Izzo and the Spartans, I couldn't leave them out quite yet |
For the first poll, I used an average of Kenpom, Evanymiya, Haslametrics, and Barttorvik's rankings. For teams that were close or tied in the average, I adjusted those teams based on my confidence level in their early season prospects based on style/coaching/roster talent and noted it in the reason column.